Market mantra for 16 May: stay calm
Avoid taking decisions in haste and based on sentiment
The stock market has gained 6.58% since Friday, 9 May,
and is expected to go up further if the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led
National Democratic Alliance (NDA) comes to power on 16 May. The exit
poll results, which were released on 12 May, also indicated in this
direction. However, it is important to note that such polls have been
proved wrong in the past. Therefore, depending on the tally, markets can
swing either way on the results day.
In 2004, when the NDA lost unexpectedly, markets fell over 16%
within days of the results being declared. In 2009, when the Congress
party-led United Progressive Alliance came back to power with a bigger
mandate, markets went up over 17% in a single day.
The recent rise in the stock market and the buildup of
expectations around election results indicate that there will be plenty
of action in the market on the result day.
If the results are in line with market expectations, it
is highly likely that there will be euphoria on the street. So, if you
have been waiting for results and missed the rally, should you join the
bandwagon on 16 May? Not necessarily.
NITESH KUMAR SINGH
PGDM 2ND
SOURCE-- MINTLIVE NEWS
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